Translation. Region: Russian Federation –
Source: KMZ Cargo – KMZ CARGO –
An important disclaimer is at the bottom of this article.
What pricing formulas should be used to ensure businesses are prepared for both tariff records and rollbacks?
The Russian freight transportation market finds itself in a paradoxical situation. On the one hand, demand is growing steadily: according to PEC data for September 2025, it increased by 7%, while the ATrucks indicator shows a persistent imbalance in favor of carriers. Traditional seasonal factors and the reduction in the key rate have whetted retail appetites. However, the main driver of growth is a shock—the mass return of equipment to lessors. More than 30,000 vehicles have already been repossessed, and approximately 10,000 more are at risk. This has created an artificial capacity shortage, pushing the market from a deep surplus into a transport affordability crisis.
And it's precisely at this moment, as the industry struggles to find a delicate balance, that it is hit with a "triple whammy" of regulatory changes planned for 2026. Starting March 1, only those who successfully register with the Unified Electronic Register of Carriers and Forwarders on the GosLog platform will be able to operate legally. Simultaneously, the patent tax system for freight transportation is planned to be completely abolished starting January 1, which will impact hundreds of thousands of small businesses and self-employed drivers.
In this regard, Logirus decided to find out:
• Will the fuel shock and shortage of carriers trigger a long-awaited recovery in tariffs, or is the announced increase just a seasonal blip?
• How will the transition from the patent system to the general taxation system affect tariffs?
• And what new approaches to pricing are carriers forced to look for?
Publication date: 10/21/2025
Please note; this information is raw content obtained directly from the information source. It is an accurate account of what the source claims, and does not necessarily reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.